Probable Causation

Episode 119: Elin Colmsjö on how health shocks affect criminal behavior

Elin Colmsjö talks about how health shocks affect criminal behavior.
“Breaking Bad: How Health Shocks Prompt Crime” by Steffen Andersen, Elin Colmsjö, Gianpaolo Parise, and Kim Peijnenburg. 
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
“Participation in illegitimate activities: A theoretical and empirical investigation" by Isaac Ehrlich.
“Long-term and spillover effects of health shocks on employment and income” by Pilar García-Gómez, Hans Van Kippersluis, Owen O’Donnell, and Eddy Van Doorslaer.
“The economic consequences of hospital admissions" by Carlos Dobkin, Amy Finkelstein, Raymond Kluender, and Matthew J. Notowidigdo.
“Family health behaviors" by Itzik Fadlon and Torben Heien Nielsen.
“Family labor supply responses to severe health shocks: Evidence from Danish administrative records" by Itzik Fadlon and Torben Heien Nielsen.
“Child’s gender, young fathers’ crime, and spillover effects in criminal behavior" and Christian Dustmann and Rasmus Landersø.
“Life shocks and crime: A test of the 'turning point' hypothesis” by Hope Corman, Kelly Noonan, Nancy E Reichman, and Ofira Schwartz-Soicher.
"Does Welfare Prevent Crime? the Criminal Justice Outcomes of Youth Removed from SSI" by Manasi Deshpande and Michael Mueller-Smith.
Probable Causation Episode 72: Manasi Deshpande.
"Mental Health and Criminal Involvement: Evidence from Losing Medicaid Eligibility" by Elisa Jácome.
Probable Causation Episode 60: Elisa Jácome.
"The Effect of Medicaid on Crime: Evidence from the Oregon Health Insurance Experiment" by Amy Finkelstein, Sarah Miller, and Katherine Baicker.

Episode 118: Sekou Keita on media reporting policies, crime, and immigration

Sekou Keita talks about how media policies that limit information reported about criminal offenders can unintentionally increase bias against the group they're trying to protect.
“The Usual Suspects: Offender Origin, Media Reporting and Natives’ Attitudes Towards Immigration” by Sekou Kenta, Thomas Renault, and Jérôme Valette.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
"Anti-Muslim voting and media coverage of immigrant crimes" by Mathieu Couttenier, Sophie Hatte, Mathias Thoenig, and Stephanos Vlachos.
"News, Emotions, and Policy Views on Immigration" by Elena Manzoni, Elie Murard, Simone Quercia, and Sara Tonini.
"Media Coverage of Immigration and the Polarization of Attitudes" by Sarah Schneider-Strawczynski and Jérôme Valette.
Probable Causation Episode 8: Amanda Agan

Episode 117: Nour Abdul-Razzak on cognitive behavioral therapy for at-risk youth

Nour Abdul-Razzak talks about her research on a cognitive behavioral therapy program called Choose to Change.
“Longer-term Impacts of a Youth Behavioral Science Intervention: Experimental Evidence from Chicago” by Nour Abdul-Razzak, Brandon Domash, Kelly Hallberg, and Cristobal Pinto Poehls.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
Scarcity: Why having too little means so much by Sendhil Mullainathan and Eldar Shafir.
“Thinking, fast and slow? Some field experiments to reduce crime and dropout in Chicago” by Sara B. Heller, Anuj K. Shah, Jonathan Guryan, Jens Ludwig, Sendhil Mullainathan, and Harold A. Pollack.
“Reducing crime and violence: Experimental evidence from cognitive behavioral therapy in Liberia” by Christopher Blattman, Julian C. Jamison, and Margaret Sheridan.
“Cognitive Behavioral Therapy Reduces Crime and Violence over Ten Years: Experimental Evidence” by Christopher Blattman, Sebastian Chaskel, Julian C. Jamison, and Margaret Sheridan.
“Predicting and Preventing Gun Violence: An Experimental Evaluation of READI Chicago" by Monica P. Bhatt, Sara B. Heller, Max Kapustin, Marianne Bertrand, and Christopher Blattman.
Probable Causation Episode 88: Sara Heller and Max Kapustin.
"Therapy to Reduce Violence and Improve Institutional Safety During Incarceration" by Bill Evans, Tyler Giles, and Rebecca Margolit-Chan.
"Can Recidivism be Prevented from Behind Bars? Evidence from a Behavioral Program" by William Arbour.
Probable Causation Episode 102: William Arbour.
"'Something Works' in U.S. Jails: Misconduct and Recidivism Effects of the IGNITE Program" by Marcella Alsan, Arkey Barnett, Peter Hull, Crystal S. Yang.
Probable Causation Episode 113: Peter Hull .
“A Cognitive View of Policing” by Oeindrila Dube, Sandy Jo MacArthur, and Anuj Shah.
Probable Causation Episode 104: Oeindrila Dube.

Episode 116: Crystal Yang on accreditation of jail-based health care

Crystal Yang talks about her research on the accreditation of jail-based health care.
“The Hidden Health Care Crisis Behind Bars: A Randomized Trial to Accredit U.S. Jails” by Marcella Alsan and Crystal Yang.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
“Impact of hospital accreditation on quality improvement in healthcare: A systematic review” by Mohammad J. Alhawajreh, Audrey S. Paterson, and William J. Jackson.
“Improvement in quality of hospital care during accreditation: A nationwide stepped-wedge study" by Søren Bie Bogh, Anne Mette Falstie-Jensen, Erik Hollnagel, René Holst, Jeffrey Braithwaite, and Søren Paaske Johnsen.
“Evaluating Accreditation” by Charles D. Shaw.
"Mental Health and Criminal Involvement: Evidence from Losing Medicaid Eligibility" by Elisa Jácome.
Probable Causation Episode 60: Elisa Jácome.
"In-Kind Welfare Benefits and Reincarceration Risk: Evidence from Medicaid" by Marguerite Burns and Laura Dague.
Probable Causation Episode 103: Marguerite Burns and Laura Dague.
"Access to health Care and Criminal Behavior: Evidence form the ACA Medicaid Expansions" by Jacob Vogler.
"The Effect of Medicaid Expansion on Crime Reduction: Evidence from HIFA-Waiver Expansions" by Hefei Wen, Jason M. Hockenberry, and Janet R. Cummings.
“The Health Effects of Prison” by Randi Hjalmarsson and Matthew J. Lindquist.
Probable Causation Episode 41: Matthew Lindquist.
“The Effect of Incarceration on Mortality" by Samuel Norris, Matthew Pecenco, and Jeffrey Weaver.

Episode 115: Steve Mello on the long-term financial consequences of small fines

Steve Mello talks the long-term financial impacts of small criminal justice fines.
“Fines and Financial Wellbeing” by Steven Mello.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
"Report on the economic well-being of U.S. households in 2017" by Jeff Larrimore, Alex Durante, Kimberly Kreiss, Christina Park, and Claudia Sahm.
"Criminalizing poverty: The consequences of court fees in a randomized experiment" by Devah Pager, Rebecca Goldstein, Helen Ho, and Bruce Western.
"The Government Revenue, Recidivism, and Financial Health Effects of Criminal Fines and Fees" by Tyler Giles.
"The Impact of Criminal Financial Sanctions: A Multi-State Analysis of Survey and Administrative Data" by Keith Finlay, Matthew Gross, Carl Lieberman, Elizabeth Luh, and Michael Mueller-Smith.

Episode 114: Rachel Nesbit on mandating mental health treatment for probationers

Rachel Nesbit talks about the effects of mandating mental health treatment for probationers.
“The Role of Mandated Mental Health Treatment in the Criminal Justice System” by Rachel Nesbit.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
“Calgary Diversion Program: A Community-Based Alternative to Incarceration for Mentally Ill Offenders” by Craig Mitton, Liz Simpson, Leslie Gardner, Fran Barnes, and Gerald McDougall.
“Mental Health Treatment and Criminal Justice Outcomes” by Richard G. Frank and Thomas G. McGuire.
“Thinking, Fast and Slow? Some Field Experiments to Reduce Crime and Dropout in Chicago" by Sara B. Heller, Anuj K. Shah, Jonathan Guryan, Jens Ludwig, Sendhil Mullainathan, and Harold A. Pollack.
“Effectiveness of Using Incentives to Improve Parolee Admission and Attendance in Community Addiction Treatment” by Michael L. Prendergast, Elizabeth A. Hall, Jason Grossman, Robert Veliz, Liliana Gregorio, Umme S. Warda, Kory Van Unen, and Chloe Knight.
“A Randomized Trial of the Effectiveness of Using Incentives to Reinforce Parolee Attendance in Community Addiction Treatment: Impact on Post-treatment Outcomes” by Elizabeth A. Hall, Michael L. Prendergast, and Umme Warda.
“A Randomized Trial of Probation Case Management for Drug-involved Women Offenders” by Joseph Guydish, Monica Chan, Alan Bostrom, Martha A. Jessup, Thomas B. Davis, and Cheryl Marsh.
“The First 90 Days Following Release from Jail: Findings from the Recovery Management Checkups for Women Offenders (RMCWO) Experiment” by Christy K. Scott and Michael L. Dennis.
"Can Recidivism Be Prevented From Behind Bars? Evidence From a Behavioral Program" by William Arbour.
Probable Causation Episode 102: William Arbour.
“Reducing the Burden of Mental Illness on the Criminal Justice System: Evidence from Light-Touch Outreach” by Mary Kate Batistich, William N. Evans and David C. Phillips.
Probable Causation Episode 67: David Phillips.
“Mental Health and Criminal Involvement: Evidence from Losing Medicaid Eligibility” by Elisa Jácome.
Probable Causation Episode 60: Elisa Jácome.
"In-Kind Welfare Benefits and Reincarceration Risk: Evidence from Medicaid" by Marguerite Burns and Laura Dague.
Probable Causation Episode 103: Marguerite Burns and Laura Dague.

Episode 113: Peter Hull on a jail-based education program called IGNITE

Peter Hull talks about the effects of a jail-based education program called IGNITE.
“'Something Works' in U.S. Jails: Misconduct and Recidivism Effects of the IGNITE Program” by Marcella Alsan, Arkey Barnett, Peter Hull, and Crystal Yang.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
“What Works? Questions and Answers about Prison Reform” by Robert Martinson.
“Incarceration, Recidivism, and Employment” by Manudeep Bhuller, Gordon B. Dahl, Katrine V. Løken, and Magne Mogstad.
“Thinking, Fast and Slow? Some Field Experiments to Reduce Crime and Dropout in Chicago” by Sara B. Heller, Anuj K. Shah, Jonathan Guryan, Jens Ludwig, Sendhil Mullainathan, and Harold A. Pollack.

Episode 112: Abi Adams on economic abuse and intimate partner violence

Abi Adams talks about economic abuse as it relates to intimate partner violence.
“The Dynamics of Abusive Relationships” by Abi Adams, Kristiina Huttunen, Emily Nix, and Ning Zhang.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
"Motherhood and Violence" by Gabriela Deschamps.
"Female empowerment and male backlash: Experimental evidence from India" by Claire Cullen, Sarthak Joshi, Joseph Vecci, and Julia Talbot-Jones.
"The Unintended Impacts of an Intimate Partner Violence Prevention Program: Experimental Evidence from Rwanda" by Claire Cullen, Arthur Alik-Lagrange, Mũthoni Ngatia, and Julia Vaillant.
"Method Matters: The Underreporting of Intimate Partner Violence" by Claire Cullen.
"Violence against Women at Work" by Abi Adams, Kristiina Huttunen, Emily Nix, and Ning Zhang.
"The Economic Cost of Rape" by Abi Adams, Kristiina Huttunen, Emily Nix, and Ning Zhang. [Available from the authors.]

Episode 84: Alex Albright on bail reform (REBROADCAST)

Alex Albright talks about money bail and the effects of bail reform.
“No Money Bail, No Problems? Trade-offs in a Pretrial Automatic Release Program” by Alex Albright.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
“Tripping through Hoops: The Effect of Violating Compulsory Government Procedures” by Natalia Emanuel and Helen Ho.
“The Effects of Pretrial Detention on Conviction, Future Crime, and Employment: Evidence from Randomly Assigned Judges” by Will Dobbie, Jacob Goldin, and Crystal S. Yang.
“Distortion of Justice: How the Inability to Pay Bail Affects Case Outcomes” by Megan T. Stevenson.
“The Unintended Impact of Pretrial Detention on Case Outcomes: Evidence from New York City Arraignments” by Emily Leslie and Nolan G. Pope.
“The Heavy Costs of High Bail: Evidence from Judge Randomization” by Arpit Gupta, Christopher Hansman, and Ethan Frenchman.
“Optimal Bail and the Value of Freedom: Evidence from the Philadelphia Bail Experiment” by David S. Abrams and Chris Rohlfs.
“Does Cash Bail Deter Misconduct?” by Aurelie Ouss and Megan T. Stevenson.
Episode 4 of Probable Causation: Megan Stevenson.
“Behavioral Nudges Reduce Failure to Appear for Court” by Alissa Fishbane, Aurelie Ouss, and Anuj K. Shah.
Episode 21 of Probable Causation: Aurelie Ouss.
“The Impact of Defense Counsel at Bail Hearings” by Shamena Anwar, Shawn D. Bushway, and John Engberg.
“Pursuing Pretrial Justice Through an Alternative to Bail” by Melanie Skemer, Cindy Redcross, and Howard Bloom.
“Release, Detain, or Surveil? The Effect of Electronic Monitoring on Defendant Outcomes” by Roman Rivera.

Episode 111: Roman Rivera on electronic monitoring during the pretrial period

Roman Rivera talks about the effects of electronic monitoring for US pretrial defendants.
“Release, Detain, or Surveil? The Effect of Electronic Monitoring on Defendant Outcomes” by Roman Rivera.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
"The Effects of Pretrial Detention on Conviction, Future Crime, and Employment: Evidence from Randomly Assigned Judges" by Will Dobbie, Jacob Goldin, and Crystal S. Yang.
“Criminal Recidivism after Prison and Electronic Monitoring” by Rafael Di Tella and Ernesto Schargrodsky.
“Better at Home Than in Prison? The Effects of Electronic Monitoring on Recidivism in France” by Anaïs Henneguelle, Benjamin Monnery, and Annie Kensey.
“Can Electronic Monitoring Reduce Reoffending?” by Jenny Williams and Don Weatherburn.
Probable Causation Episode 79: Jenny Williams.
“The Effects of Electronic Monitoring on Offenders and Their Families" by Julien Grenet, Hans Grönqvist, and Susan Niknami.
"Human Decisions and Machine Predictions" by Jon Kleinberg, Himabindu Lakkaraju, Jure Leskovec, Jens Ludwig, Sendhil Mullainathan.
"Algorithmic Risk Assessments and the Double-Edged Sword of Youth" by Megan T. Stevenson and Christopher Slobogin.
"The Effects of Parental and Sibling Incarceration: Evidence from Ohio" by Samuel Norris, Matthew Pecenco, and Jeffrey Weaver.