Probable Causation

Episode 8: Amanda Agan on Ban the Box (REBROADCAST)

Amanda Agan talks about the effects of Ban the Box policies. This episode was first posted in July 2019.
RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
"Discrimination and the Effects of Drug Testing on Black Employment" by Abigail Wozniak.
"Deleting a Signal: Evidence from Pre-Employment Credit Checks" by Alexander W. Bartik and Scott T. Nelson
"Ban the Box, Criminal Records, and Racial Discrimination: A Field Experiment" by Amanda Agan and Sonja Starr.
"The Unintended Consequences of Ban the Box: Statistical Discrimination and Employment Outcomes When Criminal Histories are Hidden" by Jennifer L. Doleac and Benjamin Hansen.
"The Effect of Changing Employers' Access to Criminal Histories on Ex-Offenders' Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from the 2010–2012 Massachusetts CORI Reform" by Osborne Jackson and Bo Zhao
"Does Banning the Box Help Ex-Offenders Get Jobs? Evaluating the Effects of a Prominent Example" by Evan K. Rose
"Ban the Box, Convictions, and Public Sector Employment" by Terry-Ann Craigie
"'Ban the Box' Measures Help High-Crime Neighborhoods" by Daniel Shoag and Stan Veuger
"Do Ban the Box Laws Increase Crime?" by Joseph J. Sabia, Taylor Mackay, Thanh Tam Nguyen, and Dhaval M. Dave
"Job Market Signaling through Occupational Licensing" by Peter Q. Blair and Bobby W. Chung
"Statistical Discrimination and the Choice of Licensing: Evidence from Ban-the-Box Laws" by Riccardo Marchingiglio
"The Effectiveness of Certificates of Relief as Collateral Consequence Relief Mechanisms: An Experimental Study" by Peter Leasure and Tia Stevens Andersen
"Criminal Records and Housing: An Experimental Study" by Peter Leasure and Tara Martin.
"Encouraging Desistance from Crime" by Jennifer L. Doleac

Bonus episode: David Skarbek on the social order of prisons

David Eil talks with David Skarbek about his book, "The Puzzle of Prison Order: Why Life Behind Bars Varies Around the World."
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Episode 42: Andrea Velasquez on how crime affects risk aversion

Andrea Velásquez talks about how exposure to violent crime affects risk aversion.
"Impact of Violent Crime on Risk Aversion: Evidence from the Mexican Drug War" by Ryan Brown, Verónica Montalva, Duncan Thomas, and Andrea Velásquez.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
“Violence, Psychological Trauma, and Risk Attitudes: Evidence from Victims of Violence in Colombia” by Andrés Moya.
“Violence and Risk Preference: Experimental Evidence from Afghanistan” by Michael Callen, Mohammad Isaqzadeh, James D. Long, and Charles Sprenger.
“Depression Babies: Do Macroeconomic Experiences Affect Risk-Taking?” by Ulrike Malmendier and Stefan Nagel.
“Beyond Valence: Toward a Model of Emotion-Specific Influences on Judgement and Choice” by Jennifer Lerner and Dacher Keltner.
“The Economic Burden of Crime: Evidence from Mexico” by Andrea Velásquez.
“Violent Conflict and Behavior: A Field Experiment in Burundi” by Maarten J. Voors, Eleonora E.M. Nillesen, Philip Verwimp, Erwin H. Bulte, Robert Lensink, and Daan P. Van Soest.
“The Impact of Violence on Individual Risk Preferences: Evidence from a Natural Experiment” by Pamela Jakiela and Owen Ozier.
“Security, Drugs, and Violence in Mexico: A Survey” by Eduardo Guerrero-Gutiérrez.
“Drug Violence in Mexico: Data and Analysis through 2011” by Cory Molzahn, Viridiana Ríos, and David A. Shirk.
“Trafficking Networks and the Mexican Drug War” by Melissa Dell.
“Illegal Drug Markets and Violence in Mexico: The Causes beyond Calderón” by Juan Castillo, Daniel Mejía, and Pascual Restrepo.
Votes, Drugs, and Violence: The Political Logic of Criminal Wars in Mexico. by Sandra Ley and Guillermo Trejo.
"Knowing Where and How Criminal Organizations Operate Using Web Content" by Michele Coscia and Viridiana Ríos.
“Risk Preferences in Households and Families” by Amar Hamoudi.
"Conflict and Risky Health Behavior: Evidence from Mexico's Drug War" by Shanthi Manian.
"Health Seeking amid Violence: Evidence from the Philippines" by Teresa Molina.

Episode 41: Matthew Lindquist on the health effects of prison

Matthew Lindquist talks about the health effects of prison.
"The Health Effects of Prison" by Randi Hjalmarsson and Matthew Lindquist.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
“The Dose-Response of Time Served in Prison on Mortality: New York State, 1989-2003” by Evelyn Patterson.
"The Effect of Incarceration on Mortality" by Samuel Norris, Matthew Pecenco, and Jeffrey Weaver.
“The Effect of Public Health Insurance on Criminal Recidivism” by Erkmen Aslim, Murat Mungan, Carlos Navarro, and Han Yu.
“Substance Abuse Treatment Centers and Local Crime” by Samuel Bondurant, Jason Lindo, and Isaac Swensen.
“New Evidence that Access to Health Care Reduces Crime” by Jennifer Doleac.
“Access to Health Care and Criminal Behavior: Short-Run Evidence from the ACA Medicaid Expansions” by Jacob Vogler.
“The Effect of Medicaid Expansion on Crime Reduction: Evidence from HIFA-waiver Expansions” by Hefei Wen, Jason Hockenberry, and Janet Cummings.

Episode 40: Emily Leslie on COVID and domestic violence

Emily Leslie talks about how social distancing due to COVID-19 has affected domestic violence.
"Sheltering in place and domestic violence: Evidence from calls for service during COVID-19" by Emily Leslie and Riley Wilson.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
“The Gender Wage Gap and Domestic Violence” by Anna Aizer.
“Family Violence and Football: The Effect of Unexpected Emotional Cues on Violent Behavior” by David Card and Gordon Dahl.
"COVID-19 and Crime: Effects of Stay-at-Home Orders on Domestic Violence" by Lindsey Rose Bullinger, Jillian B. Carr, and Analisa Packham.
"The Impact of the Coronavirus Lockdown on Domestic Violence" by Sarath Sanga and Justin McCrary.
"Unintended Consequences of Lockdowns: COVID-19 and the Shadow Pandemic" by Saravana Ravindran and Manisha Shah.
"Hang Up on Stereotypes: Domestic Violence and Anti-Abuse Helpline Campaign" by Marco Colagrossi, Claudio Deiana, Andrea Geraci, and Ludovica Giua.

Episode 39: Anna Bindler on the labor market effects of crime victimization

Anna Bindler talks about the labor market effects of crime victimization.
"Scaring or scarring? Labour market effects of criminal victimisation" by Anna Bindler and Nadine Ketel.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
"Criminal Deterrence: A Review of the Literature" by Aaron Chalfin and Justin McCrary.
"Crime and Economic Incentives" by Mirko Draca and Stephen Machin.
"Crime and Mental Well-Being" by Francesca Cornaglia, Naomi E. Feldman, and Andrew Leigh.
"The Effect of Local Area Crime on Mental Health" by Christian Dustmann and Francesco Fasani.
"Costs of Victimization" by Anna Bindler, Nadine Ketel, and Randi Hjalmarsson.
"The price of violence: Consequences of violent crime in Sweden" by Petra Ornstein.
"Violence While in Utero: The Impact of Assaults During Pregnancy on Birth Outcomes" by Janet Currie, Michael Mueller-Smith, and Maya Rossin-Slater.
Episode 18 of Probable Causation: Maya Rossin-Slater.

Episode 38: CarlyWill Sloan on racial bias in policing

CarlyWill Sloan talks about racial bias in police use of force.
"Does Race Matter for Police Use of Force? Evidence from 911 Calls" by Mark Hoekstra and CarlyWill Sloan.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
“An Alternative Test of Racial Prejudice in Motor Vehicle Searches: Theory and Evidence” by Shamena Anwar and Hanming Fang.
“Generalising the Hit Rates Test for Racial Bias in Law Enforcement, with an Application to Vehicle Searches in Wichita” by Nicola Persico and Petra Todd.
“A New Look at Racial Profiling: Evidence from the Boston Police Department” by Kate Antonovics and Brian G. Knight.
“Testing for Racial Profiling in Traffic Stops From Behind a Veil of Darkness” by Jeffrey Grogger and Greg Ridgeway.
“How Dark Is Dark? Bright Lights, Big City, Racial Profiling” by William C. Horrace and Shawn M. Rohlin.
"Racial Bias in Police Investigations" by Jeremy West.
Episode 19 of Probable Causation: Jeremy West.
“An Empirical Analysis of Racial Differences in Police Use of Force” by Roland G. Fryer.
"Not So Black and White: Uncovering Racial Bias from Systematically Misreported Trooper Reports" by Elizabeth Luh.
"Diversity in Policing: The Role of Officer Race and Gender in Police-Civilian Interactions in Chicago " by Bocar Ba, Dean Knox, Jonathan Mummolo, and Roman Rivera.
"In-group Bias and the Police: Evidence from Award Nominations" by Nayoung Rim, Bocar Ba, and Roman Rivera.
"Peer Effects in Police Use of Force" by Justin E. Holz, Roman G. Rivera, and Bocar A. Ba.

Episode 37: Jamein Cunningham on legal services for the poor

Jamein Cunningham talks about the effects of providing legal services to the poor.
"Changes in Family Structure and Welfare Participation Since the 1960s: The Role of Legal Services" by Andrew Goodman-Bacon and Jamein P. Cunningham.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
“Justice and Reform: The Formative Years of the OEO Legal Services Program” by Earl Johnson.
“To Establish Justice for All: The Past and Future of Civil Legal Aid in the United States” by Earl Johnson.
“Making Noncitizen Rights Real: Where Are Noncitizens Coming Forward to Denounce Legal Services Fraud?” by JM Pedroza.
“An Evaluation of the Federal Legal Services Program: Evidence from Crime Rates and Property Values” by Jamein P. Cunningham.
“The Effects of the Neighborhood Legal Services Program on Riots and Wealth of African Americans” by Jamein P. Cunningham and Rob Gillezeau.

Episode 36: Ellora Derenoncourt on the Great Migration and economic mobility

Ellora Derenoncourt talks about how the Great Migration affected economic mobility.
"Can you move to opportunity? Evidence from the Great Migration" by Ellora Derenoncourt.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
"Race and Economic Opportunity in the United States: An Intergenerational Perspective" by Raj Chetty, Nathaniel Hendren, Maggie R. Jones, and Sonya R. Porter.
"The Impacts of Neighborhoods on Intergenerational Mobility I: Childhood Exposure Effects" by Raj Chetty and Nathaniel Hendren.
"The Impacts of Neighborhoods on Intergenerational Mobility II: County-Level Estimates" by Raj Chetty and Nathaniel Hendren.
"Competition in the Promised Land: Black Migration and Racial Wage Convergence in the North, 1940–1970" by Leah Platt Boustan.
"Was Postwar Suburbanization 'White Flight'? Evidence from the Black Migration" by Leah Platt Boustan.
"Competition in the Promised Land: Black Migrants in Northern Cities and Labor Markets" by Leah Platt Boustan.
"Migration Networks and Location Decisions: Evidence from US Mass Migration" by Bryan A. Stuart and Evan J. Taylor.
"The Warmth of Other Suns: The Epic Story of America’s Great Migration" by Isabel Wilkerson.
"Creating Moves to Opportunity: Experimental Evidence on Barriers to Neighborhood Choice" by Peter Bergman, Raj Chetty, Stefanie DeLuca, Nathaniel Hendren, Lawrence F. Katz, and Christopher Palmer.
"Children of the Dream: Why School Integration Works" by Rucker C. Johnson.
"The Long-run Economic Effects of School Desegregation" by Cody Tuttle.

Episode 35: Erich Muehlegger on air pollution and crime

Erich Muehlegger talks about the effect of air pollution on crime.
"Air Pollution and Criminal Activity: Microgeographic Evidence from Chicago" by Evan Herrnstadt, Anthony Heyes, Erich Muehlegger, and Soodeh Saberian.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
“Crime Is in the Air: The Contemporaneous Relationship between Air Pollution and Crime” by Malvina Bondy, Sefi Roth, and Lutz Sager.
“The effect of pollution on crime: Evidence from data on particulate matter and ozone” by Jesse Burkhardt, Jude Bayham, Ander Wilson, Ellison Carter, Jesse D. Berman, Katelyn O’Dell, Bonne Ford, Emily V. Fischer, and Jeffrey R. Pierce.
“The Mortality and Medical Costs of Air Pollution: Evidence from Changes in Wind Direction” by Tatyana Deryugina, Garth Heutel, Nolan H. Miller, David Molitor, and Julian Reif.
“Airports, Air Pollution, and Contemporaneous Health” by Wolfram Schlenker and W. Reed Walker.
“Traffic Congestion and Infant Health: Evidence from E-ZPass” by Janet Currie and Reed Walker.
“As the Wind Blows: The Effects of Long-Term Exposure to Air Pollution on Mortality” by Michael L. Anderson.
“Air pollution and children's respiratory health: A cohort analysis” by Timothy K.M. Beatty and Jay P. Shimshack.
“Air Quality and Error Quantity: Pollution and Performance in a High-Skilled, Quality-Focused Occupation” by James Archsmith, Anthony Heyes, and Soodeh Saberian.
“The Long-Run Economic Consequences of High-Stakes Examinations: Evidence from Transitory Variation in Pollution” by Avraham Ebenstein, Victor Lavy, and Sefi Roth.