Probable Causation

Episode 4: Megan Stevenson on cash bail

Megan Stevenson talks about the effects of cash bail and Philadelphia’s bail reform efforts.
“Evaluating the Impacts of Eliminating Prosecutorial Requests for Cash Bail” by Aurelie Ouss and Megan T. Stevenson
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Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution. Thank you for supporting our work!
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OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
“The Heavy Costs of High Bail: Evidence from Judge Randomization” by Arpit Gupta, Christopher Hansman, and Ethan Frenchman.
“Distortion of Justice: How the Inability to Pay Bail Affects Case Outcomes” by Megan T. Stevenson.
“The Effects of Pretrial Detention on Conviction, Future Crime, and Employment: Evidence from Randomly Assigned Judges” by Will Dobbie, Jacob Goldin, and Crystal S. Yang.
“The Unintended Impact of Pretrial Detention on Case Outcomes: Evidence from New York City Arraignments” by Emily Leslie and Nolan G. Pope.
“The Downstream Consequences of Misdemeanor Pretrial Detention” by Paul Heaton, Sandra Mayson, and Megan T. Stevenson.
“Desperation and service in the bail industry” by Joshua Page.

Episode 3: Analisa Packham on syringe exchange programs

Analisa Packham talks about the effects of syringe exchange programs on HIV rates, opioid abuse, and crime.
"Are Syringe Exchange Programs Helpful or Harmful? New Evidence in the Wake of the Opioid Epidemic" by Analisa Packham.
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Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution. Thank you for supporting our work!
***
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
“Effectiveness of sterile needle and syringe programming in reducing HIV/AIDS among injecting drug users” — World Health Organization report.
“Needle exchange programs and drug injection behavior” by Jeff DeSimone.
“Needle exchange programs: Research suggests promise as an AIDS prevention strategy” — GAO report.
“Syringe exchange programs around the world: The global context” — GMHC report.
“The Moral Hazard of Lifesaving Innovations: Naloxone Access, Opioid Abuse, and Crime” by Jennifer L. Doleac and Anita Mukherjee

Episode 2: Eric Chyn on moving to better neighborhoods

Eric Chyn talks about the effect of moving to better neighborhoods on criminal justice involvement.
"Moved to Opportunity: The Long-Run Effects of Public Housing Demolition on Children" by Eric Chyn.
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Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution. Thank you for supporting our work!
***
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
“Experimental Analysis of Neighborhood Effects” by Jeffrey R. Kling, Jeffrey B. Liebman, and Lawrence F. Katz.
“A natural experiment of the consequences of concentrating former prisoners in the same neighborhoods” by David S. Kirk.
“The Effects of Exposure to Better Neighborhoods on Children: New Evidence from the Moving to Opportunity Experiment” by Raj Chetty, Nathaniel Hendren, and Lawrence F. Katz.
“Does Growing Up in a High Crime Neighborhood Affect Youth Criminal Behavior?” By Anna Piil Damm and Christian Dustmann.

Episode 1: Chloe Gibbs on the intergenerational effects of Head Start

Chloe Gibbs talks about the intergenerational effects of Head Start on criminal behavior.
“Breaking the Cycle? Intergenerational Effects of an Anti-Poverty Program in Early Childhood” by Andrew Barr and Chloe R. Gibbs.
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Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution. Thank you for supporting our work!
***
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:
“The Effects of Two Influential Early Childhood Interventions on Health and Healthy Behaviour” by Gabriella Conti, James J. Heckman, and Rodrigo Pinto.
“Adult outcomes as a function of an early childhood educational program: An Abecedarian Project follow-up” by Frances A. Campbell, Elizabeth P. Pungello, Margaret Burchinal, Kirsten Kainz, Yi Pan, Barbara H. Wasik, Oscar A. Barbarin, Joseph J. Sparling, and Craig T. Ramey.
“Early Childhood Investments Substantially Boost Adult Health” by Frances Campbell, Gabriella Conti, James J. Heckman, Seong Hyeok Moon, Rodrigo Pinto, Elizabeth Pungello, and Yi Pan.
“The rate of return to the HighScope Perry Preschool Program” by James J. Heckman, Seong Hyeok Moon, Rodrigo Pinto, Peter A. Savelyev, and Adam Yavitz.
“Longer-Term Effects of Head Start” by Eliana Garces, Duncan Thomas, and Janet Currie.
“Long-Term Impacts of Compensatory Preschool on Health and Behavior: Evidence from Head Start” by Pedro Carneiro and Rita Ginja.
“Head Start’s Long-Run Impact: Evidence from the Program’s Introduction” by Owen Thompson.
“Reducing Inequality through Dynamic Complementarity: Evidence from Head Start and Public School Spending” by Rucker C. Johnson and C. Kirabo Jackson.
“Mother's Education and the Intergenerational Transmission of Human Capital: Evidence from College Openings” by Janet Currie and Enrico Moretti.
“Inside the War on Poverty: The Impact of Food Stamps on Birth Outcomes” by Douglas Almond, Hilary W. Hoynes, and Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach. 
“Can targeted transfers improve birth outcomes?: Evidence from the introduction of the WIC program” by Hilary Hoynes, Marianne Page, and Ann Huff Stevens.
“Does Head Start Improve Children's Life Chances? Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design” by Jens Ludwig and Douglas L. Miller.
“Long-Run Impacts of Childhood Access to the Safety Net” by Hilary Hoynes, Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach, and Douglas Almond.
“Early Childhood Intervention and Life-Cycle Skill Development: Evidence from Head Start” by David Deming.
“Understanding the Mechanisms through Which an Influential Early Childhood Program Boosted Adult Outcomes” by James Heckman, Rodrigo Pinto, and Peter Savelyev.
“Impacts of a Prekindergarten Program on Children's Mathematics, Language, Literacy, Executive Function, and Emotional Skills” by Christina Weiland and Hirokazu Yoshikawa.
“What is the Added Value of Preschool? Long-term Impacts and Interactions with a Health Intervention” by Maya Rossin-Slater and Miriam Wüst.
“Intergenerational Human Capital Spillovers: Indonesia’s school construction and its effects on the next generation” by Bhashkar Mazumder, Maria Rosales-Rueda, and Margaret Triyana.
“Multi-generational Impacts of Childhood Access to the Safety Net: Early Life Exposure to Medicaid and the Next Generation's Health” by Chloe N. East, Sarah Miller, Marianne Page, and Laura R. Wherry.

Episode 0: Promo

Launching this spring: A new podcast about research related to law, economics, and crime.